GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Água Santa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Água Santa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pouso Alegre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Água Santa hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the Serie D, while Água Santa holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Água Santa

Probability

67.4%

Model confidence

23.8%

Água Santa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Água SantaDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Pouso AlegreLWDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Água SantaPouso Alegre
47.2Attack20.0
75.0Defence53.3
52.8Form23.3
58.3Power34.0
1.52xG0.31
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