Água Santa U20vs
Palmeiras U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Água Santa U20 1-2 Palmeiras U20
Original prediction
Palmeiras U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.73 | 11.6% | 20.1% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 19.8% | 24.2% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 68.6% | 55.8% | -12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras U20
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Palmeiras U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40