GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Göteborg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Göteborg W 1-1 Jitex W

Original prediction

Göteborg W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2671.7%55.4%-16.3 pts
Draw5.3017.0%22.5%5.4 pts
Away7.9711.3%22.2%10.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–18%

Predicted outcome

Göteborg W

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Göteborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Göteborg WLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Jitex WLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Göteborg WJitex W
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power23.7
2.60xG1.39
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