GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Göteborg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Göteborg W 1-1 Elfsborg W

Original prediction

Göteborg W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3138.8%42.1%3.2 pts
Draw3.3726.6%26.6%-0.0 pts
Away2.5934.6%31.4%-3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Göteborg W

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Göteborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Göteborg WLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Elfsborg WWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Göteborg WElfsborg W
100.0Attack52.6
100.0Defence56.4
100.0Form46.2
97.0Power52.4
1.91xG1.36
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