Göteborg Wvs
Alingsås W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Göteborg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Göteborg W 2-1 Alingsås W
Original prediction
Göteborg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.8% | 54.3% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.5% | 22.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 6.61 | 13.7% | 22.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Göteborg W
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Göteborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00