Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grotta 0-2 Völsungur
Original prediction
Grotta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.6% | 62.9% | 25.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.1% | 16.2% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.3% | 20.9% | -18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrottaLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VölsungurWLWWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GrottaVölsungur
66.7Attack43.1
35.3Defence27.5
51.0Form27.5
51.6Power34.9
3.37xG1.49