Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Grotta are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Vestri are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00