Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Grotta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vestri are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
7.2%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40