GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/26/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Grotta are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Afturelding are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrottaDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
AftureldingDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
GrottaAfturelding
66.7Attack100.0
35.3Defence43.1
51.0Form68.6
51.6Power68.0
2.39xG3.36
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