Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grosseto 1-1 Spezia
Original prediction
Spezia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Spezia
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Spezia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrossetoLWLWD
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SpeziaWDDDL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
GrossetoSpezia
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.24xG1.06