Grorudvs
Tromsdalen Uil
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 2 · 9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grorud 2-0 Tromsdalen Uil
Original prediction
Grorud
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.4% | 63.6% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.9% | 19.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.7% | 17.1% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20