Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grorud are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hønefoss are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hønefoss hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 71.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Hønefoss holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
11.2%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80