Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.42 | 9.7% | 31.4% | 21.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.01 | 15.2% | 22.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 75.1% | 46.6% | -28.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrorudLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BrannLWLWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GrorudBrann
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
74.3Power92.8
2.30xG2.23