Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Groningen 2-1 Utrecht
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.6%
Model confidence
13.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GroningenLWWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UtrechtDWWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GroningenUtrecht
39.2Attack49.1
48.0Defence53.7
38.2Form49.1
42.8Power51.9
1.15xG1.45