Grom Nowy Stawvs
Chemik Bydgoszcz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grom Nowy Staw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grom Nowy Staw 2-0 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Original prediction
Grom Nowy Staw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.9% | 39.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 26.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.0% | 34.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Grom Nowy Staw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Grom Nowy Staw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80