Groene Stervs
GOES
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Groene Ster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Groene Ster 2-1 GOES
Original prediction
Groene Ster
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.3% | 38.1% | -17.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.5% | 26.3% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.2% | 35.6% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Groene Ster
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Groene Ster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80