Grobničan Čavlevs
Varteks Varaždin
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grobničan Čavle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grobničan Čavle 1-0 Varteks Varaždin
Original prediction
Grobničan Čavle
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 54.0% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 22.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.8% | 23.1% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Grobničan Čavle
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Grobničan Čavle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20