Grobničan Čavlevs
Uljanik
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uljanik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grobničan Čavle 2-0 Uljanik
Original prediction
Uljanik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.6% | 27.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 23.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 48.9% | 49.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Uljanik
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Uljanik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60