GGOALVIO

Croatia · Cup · 9/26/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Grobničan Čavle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Grobničan Čavle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 7.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NK Varazdin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Grobničan Čavle hold a 36.1-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Cup, while Grobničan Čavle holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Grobničan Čavle

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Grobničan Čavle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Grobničan ČavleDLWDW

GF 39 · GA 8 · avg 7.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
NK VarazdinDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Grobničan ČavleNK Varazdin
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence22.2
66.7Form44.4
72.5Power36.4
2.82xG1.27
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