GGOALVIO

Croatia · Second NL · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Grobničan Čavle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Grobničan Čavle 5-1 Koprivnica

Original prediction

Grobničan Čavle

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5934.8%38.1%3.4 pts
Draw3.5425.4%27.5%2.1 pts
Away2.2639.8%34.4%-5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Grobničan Čavle

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Grobničan Čavle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Grobničan ČavleLDWLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KoprivnicaLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Grobničan ČavleKoprivnica
50.0Attack50.0
53.3Defence50.0
38.9Form50.0
47.7Power50.0
1.56xG1.27
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