Grobiņavs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Grobiņa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Super Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
14.5%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20