Grobiņavs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grobiņa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grobiņa 3-2 Ogre United
Original prediction
Grobiņa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.2% | 50.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.4% | 24.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.4% | 25.1% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Grobiņa
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Grobiņa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrobiņaLDDLW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Ogre UnitedLWLDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GrobiņaOgre United
22.9Attack32.3
43.8Defence18.8
27.1Form18.8
33.8Power26.6
1.47xG0.98