Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grobiņa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Minija are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
10.9%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20