Grobiņavs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FS Jelgava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grobiņa 0-0 FS Jelgava
Original prediction
FS Jelgava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.4% | 31.7% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 27.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.3% | 41.2% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
FS Jelgava
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
FS Jelgava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40