GrobiņavsFS Jelgava

Grobiņa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FS Jelgava hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.