Grobiņavs
BFC Daugavpils
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFC Daugavpils · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Grobiņa 0-1 BFC Daugavpils, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Grobiņa 1-0 BFC Daugavpils
Original prediction
BFC Daugavpils
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.1% | 19.5% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 25.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.1% | 55.5% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Projected Score
Grobiņa 0–1 BFC Daugavpils
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
BFC Daugavpils
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60