GrobiņavsBFC Daugavpils

Grobiņa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.