Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Grünwald are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sonthofen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80