GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/17/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Grünwald are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nordlingen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrünwaldLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NordlingenWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GrünwaldNordlingen
56.3Attack64.7
18.8Defence51.0
34.4Form56.9
36.6Power57.5
1.69xG3.10
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