Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grünwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Grünwald are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Kottern are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Grünwald hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Grünwald holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grünwald
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Grünwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.75/2.75
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60