GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/11/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Grünwald are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Heimstetten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrünwaldLLLDW

GF 8 · GA 20 · avg 1.60/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenWLLDW

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
GrünwaldHeimstetten
56.3Attack53.3
18.8Defence53.3
34.4Form46.7
36.6Power53.0
1.72xG2.46
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