Górnik Zabrze IIvs
Olimpia Grudziądz
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Grudziądz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Zabrze II 3-4 Olimpia Grudziądz
Original prediction
Olimpia Grudziądz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.02 | 8.2% | 29.3% | 21.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.78 | 15.7% | 24.3% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 76.1% | 46.3% | -29.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Grudziądz
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Olimpia Grudziądz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60