Górnik Polkowicevs
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Polkowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Polkowice 1-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Original prediction
Górnik Polkowice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.1% | 39.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 24.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.6% | 36.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Polkowice
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Górnik Polkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80