Górnik Polkowicevs
Stilon Gorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Polkowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Polkowice 4-1 Stilon Gorzów
Original prediction
Górnik Polkowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 42.9% | -14.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.5% | 21.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.0% | 35.5% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Polkowice
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Górnik Polkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40