Górnik Polkowicevs
Odra Bytom Odrzański
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Odra Bytom Odrzański · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Polkowice 0-1 Odra Bytom Odrzański
Original prediction
Odra Bytom Odrzański
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.1% | 36.5% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 26.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.3% | 36.7% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Odra Bytom Odrzański
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Odra Bytom Odrzański has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80