Górnik Polkowicevs
Goczałkowice Zdrój
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Polkowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Polkowice 4-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój
Original prediction
Górnik Polkowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.8% | 49.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 25.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.1% | 25.2% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Polkowice
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Górnik Polkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00