Górnik Polkowicevs
Carina Gubin
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Polkowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Polkowice 2-1 Carina Gubin
Original prediction
Górnik Polkowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.8% | 65.8% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.6% | 18.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.6% | 15.6% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Polkowice
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Górnik Polkowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40