Górnik Łęcznavs
Stal Stalowa Wola
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/17/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Łęczna 1-2 Stal Stalowa Wola
Original prediction
Górnik Łęczna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.3% | 68.8% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.2% | 16.7% | -8.5 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.5% | 14.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Łęczna
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80