Górnik Łęcznavs
Stal Mielec
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Łęczna 3-3 Stal Mielec
Original prediction
Górnik Łęczna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.7% | 39.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 26.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.6% | 34.0% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Łęczna
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40