Górnik Łęcznavs
Legia Warszawa II
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Łęczna 4-1 Legia Warszawa II
Original prediction
Górnik Łęczna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.1% | 47.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 25.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Łęczna
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80