Górnik Łęcznavs
Chojniczanka Chojnice
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Górnik Łęczna 3-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Original prediction
Górnik Łęczna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.0% | 42.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 27.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.2% | 29.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Łęczna
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00