GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/28/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Górnik Łęczna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arka Gdynia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the I Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Górnik ŁęcznaDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Arka GdyniaDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Górnik ŁęcznaArka Gdynia
33.3Attack83.3
72.4Defence100.0
53.3Form100.0
54.8Power92.8
0.85xG0.94
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