Grêmio U20vs
Operário PR U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grêmio U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grêmio U20 1-3 Operário PR U20
Original prediction
Grêmio U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.5% | 51.5% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.6% | 23.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 17.9% | 24.6% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Grêmio U20
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Grêmio U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75