Grêmio Prudentevs
União São João
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grêmio Prudente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Grêmio Prudente 0-0 União São João, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Grêmio Prudente 0-0 União São João
Original prediction
Grêmio Prudente
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.0% | 39.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.9% | 29.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.1% | 30.6% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
Grêmio Prudente 0–0 União São João
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Grêmio Prudente
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Grêmio Prudente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00