Grêmio Prudentevs
Paulista
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 8/31/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Grêmio Prudente 0-0 Paulista, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Grêmio Prudente 4-0 Paulista
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 35.0% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.0% | 31.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.9% | 33.1% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Grêmio Prudente 0–0 Paulista
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Grêmio PrudenteWLLDW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PaulistaWWDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Grêmio PrudentePaulista
22.2Attack33.3
61.1Defence61.1
38.9Form55.6
43.6Power53.1
0.77xG0.84