Grêmio Prudentevs
Linense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 9/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grêmio Prudente 2-2 Linense
Original prediction
Linense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.3% | 30.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.2% | 29.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.5% | 40.5% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Linense
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Linense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60