Grêmio Catanduvensevs
Matonense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Matonense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Matonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 58.7-point power-rating edge (3.4 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Matonense
Probability
89.6%
Model confidence
15.4%
Matonense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 26 · avg 0.40/5.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20