GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matonense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Matonense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 58.7-point power-rating edge (3.4 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matonense

Probability

89.6%

Model confidence

15.4%

Matonense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Grêmio CatanduvenseLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 26 · avg 0.40/5.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
MatonenseDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Grêmio CatanduvenseMatonense
13.3Attack71.4
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form61.9
3.4Power62.1
0.49xG3.59
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