GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.25 conceded, while Independente SP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 70.7-point power-rating edge (3.4 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

93.3%

Model confidence

17.0%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Grêmio CatanduvenseLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.75/3.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Independente SPWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Grêmio CatanduvenseIndependente SP
13.3Attack88.2
0.0Defence78.4
0.0Form76.5
3.4Power74.1
0.38xG4.02
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