Grêmio Anápolisvs
Goiânia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Goiano - 2 · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goiânia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Grêmio Anápolis 0-0 Goiânia, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Grêmio Anápolis 4-0 Goiânia
Original prediction
Goiânia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.5% | 26.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.4% | 32.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.2% | 41.1% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Projected Score
Grêmio Anápolis 0–0 Goiânia
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Goiânia
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Goiânia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Grêmio AnápolisLLDLD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GoiâniaDDWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Grêmio AnápolisGoiânia
33.3Attack27.1
43.8Defence70.8
22.9Form41.7
35.5Power49.5
0.60xG0.87