Grêmio Anápolisvs
Goianésia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Goiano - 2 · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grêmio Anápolis 1-2 Goianésia
Original prediction
Goianésia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.1% | 28.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.8% | 28.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.1% | 42.5% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20